SOCRATES

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CelesTrak

Search parameters:

  • Name(s): Top 10 by Maximum Probability
  • Order by Maximum Probability
  • Return first 10 items


Data current as of 2023 Mar 23 00:05 UTC

Computation Interval: Start = 2023 Mar 23 00:00:00.000, Stop = 2023 Mar 30 00:00:00.000
Computation Threshold: 5.0 km
Considering: 10,269 Primaries, 24,200 Secondaries (136,292 Conjunctions)

See notes at bottom of page for data field descriptions

Re-sort results by Minimum Range, Time In.

Action NORAD
Catalog
Number
Name Days
Since
Epoch
Max
Probability
Dilution
Threshold
(km)
Min
Range
(km)
Relative
Velocity
(km/sec)
Start
(UTC)
TCA
(UTC)
Stop
(UTC)
53243 STARLINK-4047 [+] 6.214 3.649E-02 0.003 0.010 6.944
53789 STARLINK-4666 [+] 6.603 2023 Mar 28 08:44:08.505 2023 Mar 28 08:44:09.225 2023 Mar 28 08:44:09.945
46770 STARLINK-1932 [+] 6.885 2.315E-02 0.003 0.013 4.583
47551 STARLINK-1938 [+] 7.278 2023 Mar 29 07:39:24.780 2023 Mar 29 07:39:25.871 2023 Mar 29 07:39:26.962
45229 STARLINK-1226 [+] 3.459 1.985E-02 0.004 0.013 9.631
47873 STARLINK-2329 [+] 3.739 2023 Mar 25 23:29:47.813 2023 Mar 25 23:29:48.332 2023 Mar 25 23:29:48.851
50839 STARLINK-3320 [+] 3.298 1.223E-02 0.005 0.018 4.638
53973 STARLINK-5156 [+] 3.293 2023 Mar 25 11:49:04.331 2023 Mar 25 11:49:05.409 2023 Mar 25 11:49:06.487
24796 IRIDIUM 4 [-] 4.480 1.177E-02 0.017 0.045 12.093
30877 FENGYUN 1C DEB [-] 4.588 2023 Mar 26 17:50:43.762 2023 Mar 26 17:50:44.176 2023 Mar 26 17:50:44.589
50171 STARLINK-3286 [+] 2.430 1.102E-02 0.005 0.019 6.968
50845 STARLINK-3230 [+] 2.438 2023 Mar 24 15:48:27.265 2023 Mar 24 15:48:27.982 2023 Mar 24 15:48:28.700
55302 STARLINK-5321 [+] 8.073 9.942E-03 0.005 0.021 0.000
55304 STARLINK-5318 [+] 8.073 2023 Mar 29 16:36:16.891 2023 Mar 29 23:48:13.155 2023 Mar 30 00:00:00.000
55408 STARLINK-5092 [+] 7.929 9.730E-03 0.005 0.021 0.001
55413 STARLINK-5060 [+] 7.929 2023 Mar 29 21:37:04.288 2023 Mar 29 23:47:28.945 2023 Mar 30 00:00:00.000
44933 STARLINK-1144 [+] 2.896 9.344E-03 0.006 0.020 9.284
45092 STARLINK-1137 [+] 4.037 2023 Mar 25 09:18:57.658 2023 Mar 25 09:18:58.197 2023 Mar 25 09:18:58.735
47907 STARLINK-2367 [+] 6.326 6.594E-03 0.007 0.023 9.636
48278 STARLINK-2543 [+] 6.378 2023 Mar 28 18:40:28.222 2023 Mar 28 18:40:28.741 2023 Mar 28 18:40:29.260

10 records found

Data Fields:
  • Action: The TLE Data button links to a page which provides the TLEs used to generate the associated prediction.
  • NORAD Catalog Number: NORAD Catalog Numbers of the two conjuncting objects.
  • Name: Common names of the two conjuncting objects. Operational status of each object is shown in brackets, using the standard CelesTrak SATCAT codes.
  • Days Since Epoch: The number of days from the epoch of the NORAD two-line element set or operator ephemerides (green) used to produce the prediction until the time of closest approach for the conjunction.
  • Max Probability: Given fixed spherical object radii and relative distance at the time of closest approach (TCA), the projected covariance ellipse is sized and oriented to produce the maximum probability. For these reports the ratio of major-to-minor axes of the projected covariance ellipse is set using radial, in-track, and cross-track values of 100 m, 300 m, 100 m, respectively. If the combined object radius is greater than the relative distance, the maximum probability will be one; such occurrences are not addressed here.
  • Dilution Threshold (km): The standard deviation that produces the maximum probability defines the threshold of dilution. A smaller or larger standard deviation will produce a smaller probability. In the case of computing true probability with a smaller standard deviation, the data is of sufficient quality to associate low probability with low risk. For a larger standard deviation, this is not the case and the resulting true probability calculation becomes "diluted." If operating in this dilution region, the recommendation is to obtain better data and reassess the encounter. If time or resources do not permit, then the maximum probability should be used in place of the true probability.
  • Min Range (km): The distance between the two conjuncting objects at the time of closest approach.
  • Start (UTC): Time when the two conjuncting objects come within the computation threshold from each other.
  • TCA (UTC): Time of closest approach.
  • Stop (UTC): Time when the two conjuncting objects move beyond the computation threshold from each other.
  • Relative Velocity (km/sec): Relative velocity of the two conjuncting objects at the time of closest approach.