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CelesTrak

Search parameters:

  • NORAD Catalog Number(s): 25544
  • Order by Maximum Probability
  • Return first 25 items


Data current as of 2024 May 28 00:05:35 UTC

Computation Interval: Start = 2024 May 28 00:00:00 UTC, Stop = 2024 Jun 04 00:00:00 UTC
Computation Threshold: 5.0 km
Considering: 9,887 Primaries, 26,198 Secondaries (68,973 Conjunctions)
12 SGP4 Propagation Errors
Computation run time: 04h 54m 40.094s

SOCRATES Format Documentation

See notes at bottom of page for data field descriptions

Data
&
Graphs
NORAD
Catalog
Number
Name [Ops Status] Days
Since
Epoch
TCA
(UTC)
Min
Range
(km)
Relative
Speed
(km/sec)
Max
Probability
Dilution
Threshold
(km)
GP Data 25544 ISS (ZARYA) [+] 1.463 2024-05-29 08:57:05.560 1.357 14.579
50 km All 47463 OBJECT BC [-] 1.521 6.409E-05 0.725
GP Data 25544 ISS (ZARYA) [+] 2.101 2024-05-30 00:15:59.655 2.608 13.535
50 km All 43713 JIADING 1 [+] 2.425 2.176E-05 1.112
GP Data 25544 ISS (ZARYA) [+] 6.858 2024-06-03 18:26:33.957 2.575 14.407
50 km All 51008 ICEYE-X16 [+] 6.959 1.864E-05 1.314
GP Data 25544 ISS (ZARYA) [+] 3.231 2024-05-31 03:23:40.023 4.243 12.944
50 km All 13271 COSMOS 1378 [?] 3.561 8.997E-06 1.653
GP Data 25544 ISS (ZARYA) [+] 1.495 2024-05-29 09:43:32.627 3.864 14.594
50 km All 47463 OBJECT BC [-] 1.553 7.901E-06 2.067
GP Data 25544 ISS (ZARYA) [+] 5.148 2024-06-02 01:24:36.158 4.044 14.593
50 km All 51004 FLOCK 4X-5 [+] 5.580 6.666E-06 2.164
GP Data 25544 ISS (ZARYA) [+] 0.690 2024-05-28 14:23:56.416 4.311 14.604
50 km All 47471 FLOCK 4S-12 [+] 0.747 5.832E-06 2.321
GP Data 25544 ISS (ZARYA) [+] 1.112 2024-05-29 00:32:25.296 4.488 14.755
50 km All 51086 LABSAT [+] 1.548 5.585E-06 2.518

8 records found

Data Fields:
  • Data: The GP Data button links to a page which provides the GP data used to generate the associated prediction.
  • NORAD Catalog Number: NORAD Catalog Numbers of the two conjuncting objects.
  • Name: SATCAT names of the two conjuncting objects. Operational status of each object is shown in brackets, using the standard CelesTrak SATCAT codes.
  • Days Since Epoch: The number of days from the epoch of the NORAD GP or SupGP (green) element set used to produce the prediction until the time of closest approach for the conjunction.
  • TCA (UTC): Time of closest approach.
  • Min Range (km): The distance between the two conjuncting objects at the time of closest approach.
  • Relative Speed (km/sec): Relative speed of the two conjuncting objects at the time of closest approach.
  • Max Probability: Given fixed spherical object radii and relative distance at the time of closest approach (TCA), the projected covariance ellipse is sized and oriented to produce the maximum probability. For these reports the ratio of major-to-minor axes of the projected covariance ellipse is set using radial, in-track, and cross-track values of 100 m, 300 m, 100 m, respectively. If the combined object radius is greater than the relative distance, the maximum probability will be one; such occurrences are not addressed here. For more details on the maximum probability method, see Dr. Sal Alfano's paper titled "Relating Position Uncertainty to Maximum Conjunction Probability".
  • Dilution Threshold (km): The standard deviation that produces the maximum probability defines the threshold of dilution. A smaller or larger standard deviation will produce a smaller probability. In the case of computing true probability with a smaller standard deviation, the data is of sufficient quality to associate low probability with low risk. For a larger standard deviation, this is not the case and the resulting true probability calculation becomes "diluted." If operating in this dilution region, the recommendation is to obtain better data and reassess the encounter. If time or resources do not permit, then the maximum probability should be used in place of the true probability.
  • SGP4 Propagation Errors: A list of objects which were not screened because their GP data shows they have already decayed (but haven't yet been reflected in the SATCAT) or will decay prior to the end of the computation interval.