SOCRATES

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CelesTrak

Search parameters:

  • Name(s): Top 10 by Maximum Probability
  • Order by Maximum Probability
  • Return first 10 items


Data current as of 2023 Mar 31 00:05 UTC

Computation Interval: Start = 2023 Mar 31 00:00:00.000, Stop = 2023 Apr 07 00:00:00.000
Computation Threshold: 5.0 km
Considering: 10,350 Primaries, 24,217 Secondaries (148,432 Conjunctions)

See notes at bottom of page for data field descriptions

Re-sort results by Minimum Range, Time In.

Action NORAD
Catalog
Number
Name Days
Since
Epoch
Max
Probability
Dilution
Threshold
(km)
Min
Range
(km)
Relative
Velocity
(km/sec)
Start
(UTC)
TCA
(UTC)
Stop
(UTC)
46029 STARLINK-1526 [+] 1.573 2.680E-02 0.003 0.012 4.637
48690 STARLINK-2740 [+] 1.445 2023 Apr 01 01:23:47.373 2023 Apr 01 01:23:48.451 2023 Apr 01 01:23:49.529
48034 STARLINK-2288 [+] 7.137 1.965E-02 0.004 0.012 11.716
48439 STARLINK-2583 [+] 7.160 2023 Apr 06 05:29:15.983 2023 Apr 06 05:29:16.409 2023 Apr 06 05:29:16.836
50815 STARLINK-3234 [+] 3.227 1.892E-02 0.004 0.015 4.648
53391 STARLINK-4521 [+] 3.298 2023 Apr 02 19:14:02.346 2023 Apr 02 19:14:03.422 2023 Apr 02 19:14:04.498
55778 STARLINK-5816 [+] 4.583 1.209E-02 0.005 0.019 0.000
55780 STARLINK-5819 [+] 4.647 2023 Apr 03 19:38:02.558 2023 Apr 04 00:45:39.345 2023 Apr 04 06:35:11.416
48582 STARLINK-2236 [+] 3.071 1.187E-02 0.005 0.019 4.629
48583 STARLINK-2237 [+] 3.995 2023 Apr 02 19:25:25.296 2023 Apr 02 19:25:26.376 2023 Apr 02 19:25:27.456
52867 STARLINK-4126 [+] 5.949 1.169E-02 0.005 0.018 6.969
53010 STARLINK-4263 [+] 5.344 2023 Apr 05 04:32:31.946 2023 Apr 05 04:32:32.664 2023 Apr 05 04:32:33.381
51771 STARLINK-3614 [+] 6.328 1.134E-02 0.006 0.016 12.059
53146 STARLINK-4099 [+] 5.959 2023 Apr 05 03:12:47.194 2023 Apr 05 03:12:47.609 2023 Apr 05 03:12:48.024
52485 STARLINK-3913 [+] 4.358 1.069E-02 0.005 0.020 4.649
53012 STARLINK-4271 [+] 4.419 2023 Apr 04 02:58:17.269 2023 Apr 04 02:58:18.345 2023 Apr 04 02:58:19.420
27421 SPOT 5 [-] 3.325 1.055E-02 0.019 0.070 8.118
42308 DMSP 5D-2 F13 DEB [-] 3.538 2023 Apr 02 23:15:59.920 2023 Apr 02 23:16:00.536 2023 Apr 02 23:16:01.152
45079 STARLINK-1149 [+] 3.334 1.026E-02 0.005 0.021 1.586
47914 STARLINK-2375 [+] 2.537 2023 Apr 01 18:18:01.929 2023 Apr 01 18:18:05.082 2023 Apr 01 18:18:08.235

10 records found

Data Fields:
  • Action: The TLE Data button links to a page which provides the TLEs used to generate the associated prediction.
  • NORAD Catalog Number: NORAD Catalog Numbers of the two conjuncting objects.
  • Name: Common names of the two conjuncting objects. Operational status of each object is shown in brackets, using the standard CelesTrak SATCAT codes.
  • Days Since Epoch: The number of days from the epoch of the NORAD two-line element set or operator ephemerides (green) used to produce the prediction until the time of closest approach for the conjunction.
  • Max Probability: Given fixed spherical object radii and relative distance at the time of closest approach (TCA), the projected covariance ellipse is sized and oriented to produce the maximum probability. For these reports the ratio of major-to-minor axes of the projected covariance ellipse is set using radial, in-track, and cross-track values of 100 m, 300 m, 100 m, respectively. If the combined object radius is greater than the relative distance, the maximum probability will be one; such occurrences are not addressed here.
  • Dilution Threshold (km): The standard deviation that produces the maximum probability defines the threshold of dilution. A smaller or larger standard deviation will produce a smaller probability. In the case of computing true probability with a smaller standard deviation, the data is of sufficient quality to associate low probability with low risk. For a larger standard deviation, this is not the case and the resulting true probability calculation becomes "diluted." If operating in this dilution region, the recommendation is to obtain better data and reassess the encounter. If time or resources do not permit, then the maximum probability should be used in place of the true probability.
  • Min Range (km): The distance between the two conjuncting objects at the time of closest approach.
  • Start (UTC): Time when the two conjuncting objects come within the computation threshold from each other.
  • TCA (UTC): Time of closest approach.
  • Stop (UTC): Time when the two conjuncting objects move beyond the computation threshold from each other.
  • Relative Velocity (km/sec): Relative velocity of the two conjuncting objects at the time of closest approach.